Kusvuta Drift pasi peSmoke yeTariffs: Kubva ku "Global Gambling Game" kuenda ku "Hell Level Survival dungeon"

1, Iyezvino mamiriro ezvinhu ye tariff hondo: kana 'yakanyanya kudzvinyirirwa' ikasangana' nekudzokorora matanho'

Hondo yemitengo pakati peChina neUnited States muna 2025 yakakwira kusvika padanho re "mashiripiti echokwadi" - United States yakatemera mutero we125% pazvinhu zveChinese zvinounzwa kuUnited States, uye China yakadzorera panguva imwe chete ku125%. Huwandu hwekutengeserana pakati pemativi maviri akadzikira kubva pamadhora mazana mashanu nemakumi mashanu emadhora muna 2024 kusvika pasi pemadhora mazana maviri emadhora muchikamu chekutanga cha2025, ingangoita "zero decoupling". Hupenzi hwemutambo uyu hurimo

'Digital Performance': Mutero we125% unofananidzwa ne 'nuclear deterrence', asi maitiro ayo chaiwo akafanana nekubhadharisa 'mutero wemhepo' munguva iyo mazai esupermarket anotengeswa pamadhora makumi matatu - Vatengi vekuAmerica vanomanikidzwa kubhadhara kuita kwezvematongerwo enyika, uye kushandiswa kwepagore kwemapoka epakati nepakati neakaderera akakwira ne $3000-5.

'Supply Chain Guerrilla War': Makambani eChinese akabatana kuita 'tariff ninjas', achiendesa kunze kwenyika kuburikidza nechitatu seMexico neVietnam, achigadzira matatu matatu ketani ye' Yakagadzirwa muChina - Yakaungana muMexico - Inotengeswa muUnited States ', uye nechisimba kushandura hondo yemitero kuita 'geographical arbitrage game'

• The kuseka kwenhema ye industry: Mumamiriro ezvinhu aripo ekugara achiunganidza mitero, makumi emakore akareba dambudziko rekudzora zvinodhaka muUnited States rakagadziriswa pakarepo. Indasitiri yezvinodhaka, iyo yakatanga kuita pundutso, inoratidzika diki pamberi pezvigadzirwa zveChinese pasi pemashure e125% mutero. Vatengesi vezvinodhaka vakavhura zvitoro zveChina muUnited States ndokutanga kutengesa zvinhu zvidiki zveYiwu. Mutungamiri wenyika VaTrump vari kutarisirwa kuve mutungamiri wenyika achahwina mubairo weNobel Peace Prize mushure memutungamiri wenyika VaObama

2, Mashiripiti Echokwadi: Iyo Indasitiri Shanduko Yakakonzerwa neTariff War

1. Maitiro eGuerrilla mukutengesa keni

• "Ant moving" logistics: vagadziri vefodya yemuromo vanobvisa fodya yemuromo mu "peppermint essence (10% tariff)", "pepa packaging (5% tariff)", "nicotine extract (kuchengetwa kwenguva pfupi munzvimbo yakasungwa)" kuti izivise tsika mumabhechi, uye vozoiunganidza mu "zvinhu zviri pamutemo zvinotengeswa muAmerica"
• The art ye "backdoor listing": Imwe mhando yakanyoresa chigadzirwa chayo se "Herbal Refreshing Tablets", yakadhinda chiputiriso nezvikamu zve "Compendium yeMateria Medica", uye yakabudirira kushandura chikamu chemitero kubva ku "fodya zvigadzirwa" kuenda ku "zvekuwedzera zvekudya" (kunyangwe Li Shizhen asina kumbotaura nezve nicotine)

2. Quantum mamiriro ekuchinja mumutengo wemutengo

• Zvitoro zvekutengesa muUnited States zvakaona "tariff fluctuation price tag": apo nhau dzemangwanani dzakataura kuwedzera kwemutero, mutengo wakawedzera ne5%, uye China payakabudisa chiratidzo chekukurukurirana, mutengo wakaderera ne3% (bhuku rekudzidzisa vashandi rakakora kudarika Federal Reserve's interest rate hike guide)
• China's cross-border e-commerce iri kutamba "tariff hedge fund": tenga mabhokisi matatu uye uwane inshuwarisi yemitero sechipo. Kana mutero wemutero uchikwira mukati memazuva makumi matatu, unogashira mari yekudzoserwa (actuary modhi uchichema)

3. Schizophrenic kushandiswa kwevashandisi

• Sekuru vekuAmerica vane mutsipa mutsvuku vakatuka 'China yakabira nicotine yedu' vachitsvaga paAmazon 'mashandisiro eVPN kutenga Shenzhen bonded warehouse direct mail'.
• Muridzi wefekitari yekondirakiti yeChinese anogashira tsamba kubva kugweta reWhite House masikati uye anotepfenyura live paTikTok husiku, achishevedzera "Mutengo wefodya watinonwa uri kukwikwidzana nemitero, mhuri yangu.

3, Nhungamiro Yekupona: Kusvetuka Chidzidzo Chechitatu paPolisi Cable

1. Kuzvirima kwe "Compliance Assassin"

• Kuhaya aimbove nyanzvi yenhaurirano yeWTO semuongorori wehunyanzvi mukupihwa kwakavanzika kweChinyorwa XX cheGeneral Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (Mhedziso: Fodya yemumuromo inogona kutsanangurwa se "midziyo yekuchengetedza yemuromo")
• Kugadzira "Nicotine Ingredient Packaging Center" muFree Trade Zone kudzikisa kunzwikwa kwemitero yezvinhu zvakakosha kusvika padanho rakaderera pane remvura yemamineral.

2. Ruboshwe uye rworudyi kuruoko nzira mumusika

• North American special edition: Semuyenzaniso, kuwedzera cranberry yabviswa, kurongedza ne MAGA uye Statue of Liberty (chaiyo nicotine yemukati yakakwira 15% kupfuura yekutanga), kuwedzera nyama yemombe burger, pizza, uye steak flavour,

3. Demolitism yeTekinoroji

• Kushandisa zve a 'Blockchain Tariff Traceability Patent': Kugonesa Yese Nicotine Molecule kuyambuka Border Kuyerera neDigital Mutero Bill (Wall Street Inoona Web5.0)

4, Maonero eramangwana: Kana 'kudyidzana kwenyika' kukava' kurwadziwa kwepasirese '

• Nguva pfupi (1-2 makore): "Mexican Trap" US Customs inoongorora zvinoshamisa pakutengeserana kwevatatu, ichitora madhora bhiriyoni imwe ye "fodya yemhando", ichisimudzira kukurumidza kukurumidza kwezvidzidzo zvechiSpanish muChina.
• Nguva yepakati (3-5 makore): kubereka rudzi rutsva rwe "tariff intermediaries": kunyanya kubatsira makambani kuverenga "nzira yekupatsanura 25% mutero mu5% yekudyara mutero wekudyara+10% yekurongedza mutero+10% yemutero wekutakura"
• Nguva refu (5-10 makore): Panogona kunge paine "Customs War Survivors Alliance", ine zvinodiwa zvenhengo zvinosanganisira "kunyorwa pagrey runyorwa netsika dzenyika nhatu" uye "kugona matatu kana anopfuura chikakananda chiziviso jargon"

Zvino it zvinoita sekudaro

musimboti weizvi
tariff farce ndeyekuti vezvematongerwo enyika vanoshandisa fodya semachipisi
kutamba "mutambo wesimba" -
Vatengi veAmerica vanobhadhara "mutero wezvematongerwo enyika" kuWal Mart, uye vagadziri veChinese vakaita "quantum fluctuation custom declaration" mutsika yetsika,
asi ivo vakarasika chaivo mapenguin kure kure muAntarctic vanomira mumutsara kuti vanyure muzuva kumba vongoerekana vagamuchira chiziviso chemutero.

Mapenguin haagutsikane uye anobvunza kuti, "Ndokumbirawo kubvunza kana zvichiita kubhadhara nehama dzangu dziri kure 'Q coins